Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.024922 0.026811 0.028783 0.030996 0.033415 0.035980 0.038912
2025-01-05 0.021699 0.024368 0.027299 0.030765 0.034767 0.039256 0.044697
2025-01-12 0.019252 0.022313 0.025803 0.030096 0.035265 0.041322 0.049010
2025-01-19 0.017926 0.021324 0.025321 0.030402 0.036741 0.044453 0.054644
2025-01-26 0.016711 0.020316 0.024667 0.030357 0.037673 0.046866 0.059451
2025-02-02 0.015895 0.019703 0.024409 0.030721 0.039067 0.049871 0.065157
2025-02-09 0.014920 0.018806 0.023706 0.030424 0.039525 0.051621 0.069243
2025-02-16 0.014136 0.018091 0.023174 0.030285 0.040140 0.053566 0.073676
2025-02-23 0.013401 0.017391 0.022606 0.030038 0.040557 0.055219 0.077761
2025-03-02 0.012826 0.016866 0.022231 0.030015 0.041257 0.057279 0.082546
2025-03-09 0.012169 0.016191 0.021608 0.029595 0.041341 0.058422 0.085994
2025-03-16 0.011524 0.015497 0.020919 0.029033 0.041166 0.059143 0.088801
2025-03-23 0.011013 0.014972 0.020448 0.028766 0.041422 0.060542 0.092808
2025-03-30 0.010533 0.014468 0.019981 0.028475 0.041616 0.061844 0.096742
2025-04-06 0.009991 0.013849 0.019316 0.027848 0.041244 0.062217 0.099130
2025-04-13 0.009745 0.013648 0.019251 0.028123 0.042291 0.064907 0.105643
2025-04-20 0.009429 0.013329 0.018992 0.028080 0.042820 0.066769 0.110836
2025-04-27 0.009233 0.013179 0.018977 0.028412 0.043965 0.069715 0.118182
2025-05-04 0.008895 0.012800 0.018597 0.028141 0.044092 0.070927 0.122433
2025-05-11 0.008614 0.012496 0.018318 0.028014 0.044448 0.072545 0.127551
2025-05-18 0.008325 0.012169 0.017989 0.027789 0.044618 0.073836 0.132129
2025-05-25 0.008101 0.011933 0.017791 0.027769 0.045134 0.075768 0.138102
2025-06-01 0.007807 0.011577 0.017389 0.027386 0.044991 0.076484 0.141686